Analyzed statements
"Teremos superávit nas contas no ano que vem" diz Fernando Haddad | DIRETO AO PONTO
23 classified statements · 1 politicians · June 23, 2026 · 2 min
Statements by Fernando Haddad. 23 excerpts classified by topic and stance. Topics: Public Budget, Monetary Policy, Fiscal Reform.
Speakers
- FHFernando Haddad14
Classified statements
Excerpts classified by topic and stance. This is not the full transcript of the video.
- Neutral
Desconhecido
0:01
About: calculate fiscal surplus including all expenses
Currently there is a forecast of a surplus in the accounts, but there are also exclusions of spending.
Why it was classified this way · 65% confidence describes a forecasted surplus and the existence of exclusions, without proposing action.
- Neutral
Desconhecido
0:08
About: reschedule payment of precatórios
The precatórios had to be rescheduled again.
Why it was classified this way · 90% confidence reports that precatórios had their payments rescheduled.
- Neutral
Desconhecido
0:14
About: exclude certain expenses from the surplus calculation
So they are already not considering a series of things as expenses.
Why it was classified this way · 70% confidence claims that several items are not being treated as expenses.
- Neutral
Desconhecido
0:21
About: achieve a fiscal surplus of 24 billion this year
The forecast would be 24 billion for this year's public accounts.
Why it was classified this way · 85% confidence provides a numerical forecast of a surplus in public accounts.
Fernando Haddad
0:28
About: use Central Bank accounting to assess public accounts
I'm considering it according to the Central Bank's accounting.
Why it was classified this way · 90% confidence explicitly states he is basing his position on the Central Bank's accounting.
Fernando Haddad
0:36
About: include precatórios in the primary deficit according to Central Bank accounting
In the Central Bank's accounting, all precatórios are included in the primary deficit, regardless of whether they are inside or outside the framework.
Why it was classified this way · 90% confidence explains that, according to the Central Bank's accounting, precatórios enter the deficit.
Fernando Haddad
0:43
About: calculate fiscal surplus including all expenses
And with all the precatórios already taken into account, we will have a surplus in the public accounts next year.
Why it was classified this way · 88% confidence states that, once all precatórios are accounted for, there will be a surplus.
Fernando Haddad
0:52
About: calculate fiscal surplus including all expenses
What is outside, I'm putting inside.
Why it was classified this way · 80% confidence says he is including what was previously outside (inclusion of items).
Fernando Haddad
0:55
About: use Central Bank accounting to assess public accounts
Because in the Central Bank's accounting, they do the accounting regardless of the fiscal rule.
Why it was classified this way · 85% confidence Explains the Central Bank's methodological difference regarding fiscal rules.
Fernando Haddad
1:00
About: follow IMF methodology in public accounting
They do the accounting according to the IMF guide.
Why it was classified this way · 80% confidence States that the Central Bank's accounts follow the IMF playbook (description).
- Neutral
Desconhecido
1:02
About: exclude discounts from the fiscal calculation
So do you disagree with the assessment that these discounts create an unrealistic situation, a portrayal different from the country's actual fiscal situation?
Why it was classified this way · 60% confidence Asks whether he disagrees that discounts create an unrealistic picture — questioning.
Fernando Haddad
1:12
About: use Central Bank accounting to assess public accounts
That's why I rely on the Central Bank's accounts.
Why it was classified this way · 90% confidence States again that he is basing his figures on the Central Bank's accounts.
- Neutral
Desconhecido
1:15
About: increase interest rates on government bonds
But then there is that negative reaction from the financial market, which is driving interest rates on government bonds much higher and results in more public debt.
Why it was classified this way · 80% confidence Reports market repercussions raising interest rates (described effect).
- Neutral
Desconhecido
1:27
About: increase interest rates on government bonds
And it already hit a record last week.
Why it was classified this way · 80% confidence Reports that rates hit a record (descriptive data).
- Neutral
Desconhecido
1:30
About: pay higher interest on public debt
So the government is having to pay more and more.
Why it was classified this way · 85% confidence States that the government is having to pay increasingly more (effect).
- Neutral
Desconhecido
1:34
About: control public spending
Because there is this idea that the accounts are worsening, that at some point non-mandatory expenditures will no longer fit within the budget.
Why it was classified this way · 60% confidence Presents the idea of worsening accounts and risk to non-mandatory expenditures.
Fernando Haddad
1:43
About: calculate primary balances as a measure of fiscal outcome
I'm talking about the accounts... So, I'm talking about the primary accounts.
Why it was classified this way · 80% confidence Clarifies that he is referring to the primary accounts (methodological description).
Fernando Haddad
1:48
About: report inherited 200 billion deficit in public accounts
I'm saying that I received almost a 200-billion deficit from the previous government and I cited the numbers here.
Why it was classified this way · 75% confidence States having inherited nearly 200 billion in deficit from the previous government.
Fernando Haddad
2:00
About: calculate public deficit including precatórios, social programs and compensations
From 2022 to 2023, 60 billion of explicit deficit, plus precatórios, plus Bolsa Família, plus compensation for the governors, equals 200 billion.
Why it was classified this way · 85% confidence Lists components that total about 200 billion (description of the calculation).
Fernando Haddad
2:09
About: calculate fiscal surplus including all expenses
What I'm saying is that, all things considered for next year, we will have a surplus.
Why it was classified this way · 90% confidence Says that, all things considered, there will be a surplus the following year.
Fernando Haddad
2:13
About: promote a fiscal adjustment of 2% of GDP
So, we need a fiscal adjustment of 2% of GDP.
Why it was classified this way · 95% confidence Explicitly states that a fiscal adjustment of 2% of GDP is necessary.
Fernando Haddad
2:16
About: reduce the Selic rate
The interest rate, I agree with you, is at a level that, in my opinion, it should not be.
Why it was classified this way · 85% confidence Agrees that interest rates are at a level they should not be.
Fernando Haddad
2:21
About: promote a fiscal adjustment of 2% of GDP
So I agree; there is the remedy — let's implement the remedy together with the opposition.
Why it was classified this way · 70% confidence Proposes 'fazer cura com a oposição' to resolve the fiscal issue.
AI classification from the transcript of a public video. See the Methodology